Granite Bay Real Estate Market Update
Posted by John Lockwood on February 28th, 2008
Whenever we talk about real estate market averages, we’re talking about abstractions that fall apart when you look more closely.
The market in Granite Bay is a luxury real estate market with high end homes. As such, you’d expect it to behave differently than other markets — and you’d be right.
In 2007, for example, 258 homes sold in Granite Bay, so unit volume was down only 4.4% from the volume in 2006. Likewise, homes held their value quite well compared to other markets. Sold price per square foot dropped only 1.9% from year to year, from an average of $287.25 in 2006 to an average of $281.69 in 2007.
In 2007, the average home sold for slightly more than in 2006. 2007’s average sale price was $919,713, up .2% from 2006’s average sale price of $919,778. The median price also rose from year to year. In 2006, the median sale price of a home in Granite Bay was $791,000. In 2007, the median sale price had risen to $805,000, a 1.8% increase.
Unlike other areas, prices in Granite Bay have not come tumbling down as a result of huge numbers of foreclosures being heavily discounted. We did see more foreclosures in 2007 than 2006, but the absolute numbers are still small. Throughout 2007, for example, only fourteen of the 258 homes that sold were bank foreclosures (5.4%). Short sales accounted for only another nine sales (3.5% of the total).
The one indicator that did change pretty dramatically from year to year was time on market. Average days on market rose from 36 during 2006 to 64 days in 2007.
An average of twenty homes change hand each month in Granite Bay, and there are 180 homes available in the MLS. Currently, therefore, in Granite Bay there are 9 months of homes in inventory.
April 24th, 2008 at 8:36 pm
Makes no sense. Granite Bay cannot hold for ever - prices only rise if there are good jobs. I understand that tech companies like Intel, oracle, IBM are fleeing to Asia. And Granite Bay owners are scared to admit that there home values have fallen almost 40% from the 2005 prices.
April 25th, 2008 at 11:32 am
I’m not sure what doesn’t make sense about it. No one’s saying Granite Bay is going to “hold forever” — the argument is that as a luxury market it behaves differently from other areas.
Intel is still here — IBM and Oracle never were, except for branch offices. Even if you concede that Intel is “fleeing to Asia” (which is oversimplified at best) the capitalists that own it won’t — and that’s the kind of person who lives in Granite Bay: Doctors, professionals, captains of industry, Sacramento Kings players.
There’s more money there, and there are fewer foreclosures. Steep price declines and high REO numbers go together.