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  • How To Not Negotiate Your Best Deal

    Posted by John Lockwood on July 10th, 2008

    Everybody wants to save money and get the best bargain they can on a home.  At the same time, everybody with a newspaper or a broadband connection knows that we’re in something called a buyer’s market. 

    Many buyers feel on some level that they’re not going to get a good buy unless they actively create one by serious, hard-fought negotiations.  Unlike Realtors®, who have the luxury (or the curse) of looking at MLS data day in and day out, buyers don’t always understand that at any given time, the homes offered for sale in the MLS for any given set of criteria the buyer may have will cover a whole range of prices. 

    Find an Inexpensive Home and Buy It

    The easiest and most sure fire method we’ve found for getting a good deal on a home is to simply find a good deal and buy it. 

    This sounds obvious, but in fact, most of the buyers we work with have an idea that they need to negotiate or they’re not going to get a good deal. 

    Sometimes, though, depending on the market, the opposite may be true!

    Let’s take three categories of homes. In all the numbers that follow, we’ll use homes that sold in Placer County in June, 2008:

    • Category 1:  Buyers negotiated an average of 4.3% off of the list price.
    • Category 2:  Buyers negotiated an average of 3.6% off of the list price.
    • Category 3:  Buyers negotiated an average of only 0.5% off of list price (1/2 of one percent).

    OK, so who got the best deal?  Did you say the buyer who negotiated 4.3% off of list?

    Let’s look at these same categories again, now with some different information:

    • Category 1:  Buyers paid (selling price) an average of $178.20 per square foot for their home.
    • Category 2:  Buyers paid (selling price) an average of $197.91 per square foot for their home.
    • Category 3:  Buyers paid (selling price) an average of $150.78 per square foot for their home.

    That’s a different story, isn’t it?

    Why is it that the people who got the best selling price were the ones who "negotiated" the least?  It’s simple:  because the discount was already built in to the listing price.  The buyer needed to step up and offer something close to (or often, over) full price to get the home, because it was priced well enough that other people were competing on it.

    Category 3 properties are bank owned foreclosures.  Category 2 properties are non-distressed sales.  Category 1 properties are short sales.

    What Matters?

    What’s the definition of a real estate bargain?  To me, a bargain is a home that has all the features you want, and the best price compared to other homes that sold at around the same time.  Indeed using "homes that sold at around the same time" is exactly the comparative market method that appraisers use to determine value as well.

    One thing appraisers don’t look at is the listing price of your home, or anyone else’s for that matter.  List price is doesn’t matter.  How much or whether you negotiated doesn’t matter.  What matters is the sale price compared to the sale price of other, similar homes.

    Which Of The Following Is the Best Bargain?

    The following homes are in the same neighborhood, sold around the same time, and have similar features.  Which one is the bargain?

    A) Home listed for $400,000.  Buyer wrote lowball offer for $325,000.  Seller came down to $350,000.  Sold for $360,000.

    B) Home listed for $350,000.  Buyer offered $340,000.  Sold for $340,000.

    C) Home listed for $280,000.  With fierce competition, winning buyer offered $320,000.  Sold for $320,000.

    "I’m Not Going To Get In a Bidding War, and I’m Not Going To Pay Full Price"

    Buyers tell me all the time that they don’t want to get in bidding wars, and they’re not going to pay full price.  I understand the psychology of both these claims.  But to my way of thinking, bidding wars don’t matter.  Full price doesn’t matter.  What matters is the sale price compared to the sale price of other, similar homes.

    Let’s review.  Buyer A is a shrewd negotiator.  Price Line’s William Shatner would be proud.   He paid too much.  Buyer B is a fair negotiator, who knocked ten thousand off the price.  He paid the market price.  Buyer C found a bargain, recognized it as such, and bought it.  He got the best bargain, and he was the "worst" negotiator.

    Do you have comps in the neighborhood you’re shopping in?  You should.  Your Realtor® should get them for you.  Are you looking at enough homes to recognize a bargain when you see one?  You should.  Your Realtor® should be showing them to you.

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    Real Estate Market Statistics, Central Roseville (95678), May, 2008

    Posted by John Lockwood on June 17th, 2008

    Following up on our report for West Roseville, here is our report for Central Roseville. Prices have dropped slightly more than in West Roseville, and (as you might expect), unit volume has increased slightly more as a result. On the other hand, Central Roseville has slightly more inventory to work through, but overall the differences between the two markets are quite small.

    Unit Volume Data

    Units Sold May, 2007 May, 2008 Change
    Foreclosures Sold 7 32 357.14%
    (% of total units) 16.67% 56.14%  
    Short Sales Sold 2 6 200.00%
    (% of total units) 4.76% 10.53%  
    Non-distressed Sold 33 19 -42.42%
    (% of total units) 78.57% 33.33%  
    Total 42 57 35.71%

    Price Data

    Prices May, 2007 May, 2008 Change
    Sold Price / Square Foot $223.99 $162.71 -27.36%
    Average List Price $368,172 $295,658 -19.70%
    Average Sale Price $359,077 $288,693 -19.60%

    Inventory

    Sold Last 12 Months Active Months of Inventory
    456 230 6.1

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    Real Estate Market Data & Sales Information, West Roseville 95747

    Posted by John Lockwood on June 14th, 2008

    Here is a report on market data for West Roseville for May of 2008. Sales are down, but unit volume is up almost 33% from last year, resulting in overall inventory numbers of less than six months.

    Unit Volume Data

    Units Sold May, 2007 May, 2008 Change
    Foreclosures Sold 12 36 200.00%
    (% of total units) 18.75% 42.35%  
    Short Sales Sold 4 11 175.00%
    (% of total units) 6.25% 12.94%  
    Non-distressed Sold 48 38 -20.83%
    (% of total units) 75.00% 44.71%  
    Total 64 85 32.81%

    Price Data

    Prices May, 2007 May, 2008 Change
    Sold Price / Square Foot $230.26 $172.48 -25.09%
    Average List Price $472,039 $400,729 -15.11%
    Average Sale Price $461,728 $387,516 -16.07%

    Inventory

    Sold Last 12 Months Active Months of Inventory
    723 344 5.7

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    Placer County Investment Properties

    Posted by John Lockwood on May 26th, 2008

    Our Sacramento site has recently published listings for all Greater Sacramento Investment Properties, which includes the following listings for Placer County:

    These listings are updated regularly.

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    Cameron Park Open House - Sunday, May 18th

    Posted by John Lockwood on May 15th, 2008

    kitchen_640w Vicki Agregado-Babcock will hold her beautiful listing at 3262 Sandhurst Court in Cameron Park open on Sunday, May 18th, from 1PM to 4PM.

    For more information, check out the following links:


    Location Information
    County: El Dorado MLS Area: 12601
    Cross Street: Sandhurst Census Tract: 0
    Location: Cul-De-Sac, Snow Line Below Subdivision: Deer Trail Estates
    Directions: Hwy 50, North on Cambridge Rd. go aprox. 2 miles. Turn left left on Sandhurst Dr.(across from entrance to Cameron Park Lake. Left on Sanhurst Ct to end. Map: Thomas Bros. (PL, SA), 263 C-4


    Interior Features
    Master Bedroom Description: Closet, Ground Floor Master Bathroom Description: Closet, Remodeled/Updated, Shower Stall(s)
    Other Bathrooms Description: Tub w/Shower Over Dining Room Description: Breakfast Nook, Dining/Living Combo
    Kitchen Description: Counter Granite, Kitchen/Family Combo, Pantry Closet, Remodeled/Updated Has Fireplace: No
    Number of Fireplaces: 0 Heating: Central, Propane, Other-Attch
    Cooling: Central Floors: Carpet, Tile, Wood
    Laundry: 220 Volt Hook-Up, Cabinets, Inside Room Additional Equipment: Cable TV Installed, DSL Possible, Window Furnishings
    Appliances: Dishwasher, Disposal, Ice Maker Plumbed, Microwave B/I, Oven Elec F/S


    Exterior Features
    Style: Ranch Stories: 1 Story
    Construction: Frame, Wood Builder: Peterson
    Exterior: Wood Foundation: Raised
    Roof: Comp Shingle Water / Sewer: In & Connected
    Water: Public District Utilities: 220 Volts, All Public, Propane, Underground
    Security System: Smoke Detector Parking Description: 2 Car Attached
    Has Garage: Yes Landscaping: Sprinkler Auto F&R, Sprinkler Auto Rear
    Has a Pool: No Is Short Sale: No
    Is a Horse Property: No Exposure Faces: North
    Topography: Lot Grade Varies, Lot Sloped, View Local, View Special Elevation: 1300
    Lot Size in Acres: 0.23 Lot Size in Sq. Ft.: 10019
    Dimensions: 0 Zoning: res
    Energy Features: Ceiling Fan(s), Dual Pane Full, Skylight Improvements: None
    Road Description: Paved, Public Maintained Space Rent: 0


    School
    Elementary School: Rescue Union Jr. High School: Rescue Union
    High School: El Dorado Union High


    Additional Information
    Property Type: SFR Property SubType: 1 House on Lot
    Property SubType 2: Detached, Remodeled/Updated Year Built: 1988
    APN: 116-482-08-10 Status: Active
    Other Structures: Tool Shed HOA Dues: 0

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    New Roseville Real Estate Blog Theme

    Posted by John Lockwood on January 13th, 2008

    As you can see, I’ve been working on a new custom theme for our site.

    Having more than one business interest, it’s always fun to decide whether you’re going to use the first person or not.  I was going to say "ParticleWave.com has provided us with a new custom theme for our Roseville site" — but the truth is, ParticleWave c’est moi as well.

    You’d think we’d work the color "Rose" in since it’d be kind of a natural chromatic pun.  But tests have shown that for every ten chromatic puns that someone hoped would succeed on a web site, no pun in ten did.  Elite Properties blue looks better.

    The next step will be to integrate this theme into the rest of the web site and my IHomefinder MLS Search Pages so that it all kind of hangs together nicely.

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